STNE stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
StoneCo Ltd is a provider of financial technology solutions... Show more
Why StoneCo (STNE) Stock Is Down -17% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- StoneCo (STNE) shares fell roughly 17% over the last 30 days, closing near $7.75 after trading around $9.34 a month earlier.
- The move was driven primarily by Brazil's October 2026 presidential runoff, where incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's unexpected victory triggered a broad sell-off across Brazilian fintech and payments stocks.
- The stock had rallied sharply in early October after a strong first-round showing by challenger Flávio Bolsonaro, only to give back those gains after the runoff result.
- Over the trailing quarter, StoneCo shares have declined roughly 32%, reflecting elevated volatility tied to Brazil's political and interest-rate environment.
- Goldman Sachs trimmed its StoneCo price target from $11 to $9.50 in late October while maintaining a Neutral rating.
- StoneCo is scheduled to report third-quarter 2026 results on November 12, marking a key near-term catalyst.
- For additional detail on valuation and guidance, review StoneCo's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast on dedicated pages.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see how algorithmic trading strategies are navigating StoneCo's recent volatility.
StoneCo (STNE) Company Overview and Market Position
StoneCo Ltd. is a Brazil-focused financial technology company that provides payment processing and financial software solutions to micro, small, and medium-sized businesses. Incorporated in the Cayman Islands and headquartered in São Paulo, the company operates through well-known brands including Stone, Ton, and Pagar.me, offering integrated point-of-sale terminals, online payment platforms, digital banking, and credit products.
StoneCo competes across Brazil's fast-growing digital payments and fintech landscape, positioning itself as a one-stop financial operating system for merchants. Investors follow the stock closely because its growth is tied to Brazilian consumption, small-business activity, and the country's interest-rate cycle, which directly influences the profitability of its credit business.
StoneCo (STNE) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
StoneCo shares closed near $7.75 on October 30, down roughly 17% from the $9.34 closing level recorded roughly 30 days earlier. The decline was not linear: the stock surged in early October before collapsing in the final week of the month.
Looking at the trailing quarter, the move is more pronounced. StoneCo traded around $11.40 in late July before sliding through August, bottoming near $9.10–$9.50 in September, and spiking as high as $12.46 in mid-October on election-driven optimism. The subsequent reversal pushed shares down approximately 32% for the quarter, underscoring how much of the recent action has been driven by macro-political swings rather than company-specific fundamentals.
What Drove STNE Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The dominant catalyst was Brazil's 2026 presidential election. In the first round, conservative challenger Flávio Bolsonaro outpolled incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, sparking a sharp rally across Brazilian equities as investors positioned for a market-friendly change in administration. StoneCo shares climbed roughly 25% in a single session in early October and continued higher into the middle of the month.
That optimism reversed after the October runoff, when Lula won an upset victory with 51.8% of the vote to Bolsonaro's 48.2%. The result triggered a broad sell-off in Brazilian financial names, and StoneCo fell approximately 29% in one day, alongside declines in peers such as PagSeguro, Inter & Co, and Nu Holdings. Investors weighed expectations for higher-for-longer interest rates and a weaker Brazilian real, which weigh on credit-heavy fintechs with elevated debt loads.
In late October, Goldman Sachs lowered its StoneCo price target from $11 to $9.50 while keeping a Neutral rating, adding to the cautious sentiment heading into the company's earnings report.
What Drove STNE Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly picture reflects a tug-of-war between StoneCo's underlying business momentum and Brazil's macroeconomic backdrop. Second-quarter results showed revenue growth driven by credit expansion, with management maintaining full-year guidance while flagging high rates and credit-quality headwinds. Analysts trimmed estimates modestly through the period.
Meanwhile, Brazil's rate environment remained a persistent overhang. StoneCo's total debt has risen significantly in recent years, making the company more sensitive to elevated borrowing costs. The election added a powerful swing factor, first lifting and then punishing the stock as investors reassessed the outlook for fiscal policy, the real, and interest rates under a Lula administration that will govern into 2030.
Trending AI Robots
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STNE Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
StoneCo's third-quarter 2026 earnings report on November 12 is the most immediate catalyst. Investors will focus on revenue growth, credit portfolio quality, cost of risk, and any update to full-year guidance. Consensus expectations point to continued top-line growth, but the reaction will hinge on whether management's outlook holds up against a more challenging rate and currency environment.
Beyond earnings, key factors to monitor include the direction of Brazil's benchmark interest rate, the performance of the Brazilian real, fiscal policy signals from the new administration, and the trajectory of credit defaults across StoneCo's lending book. Competitive pressure in Brazil's digital payments sector and any further analyst revisions will also shape sentiment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
STNE's RSI Indicator stays in oversold zone for 4 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +7.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STNE advanced for three days, in 217 of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
STNE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on STNE as a result. In 76 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for STNE turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.
STNE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for STNE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STNE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator for STNE entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.199) is normal, around the industry mean (16.842). P/E Ratio (0.575) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.273). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.620) is also within normal values, averaging (3.696). Dividend Yield (1.306) settles around the average of (0.272) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.948) is also within normal values, averaging (104.492).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. STNE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STNE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a financial technology solutions provider
Industry ComputerCommunications